Urban Violent Crime & Legal Gun Ownership: A Story of Geographical Assault in the U.S.

Urban Violent Crime Statistics Fast Facts

  • National Average Violent crime rate - 366.7 violent crimes per 100K people in the US nationwide in 2019. (Source)
  • Washington, D.C., had the highest violent crime rate in 2022, with 999.8 crimes per 100,000 people. (Source)
  • 89% of firearms used in crimes were obtained illegally, per a 2016 BJS report.
  • Of the 26,000 US homicides in the US in 2021, 60% (15,702) occurred in Metro and Fringe Metro areas.
  • Violent crime nationwide decreased by 1% from 1,326,600 in 2020 to 1,313,200 in 2021, with robbery decreasing by 8.6%, lowering the national average.
  • Violent crime rates in urban areas were 24.5 per 1,000 citizens in 2021. (Source)
  • There were 461,540 arrests for violent crimes in 2020 nationwide. (Source)
  • Suburban areas with a population of less than 50,000 had the most violent crimes in 2017.
  • Between 1994 and 2002, an increase in street gangs correlated with an increase in violent crime (61.1 homicides per 1.5 square miles).
  • Urban areas with a population size of 500,000-999,999 have the highest crude rate of violent crime. (Source)

Many factors play into violent crime victimizations in the U.S. Population size is only one factor. Poverty, criminality, education, and public policies all affect crime rates, particularly violent crime.

Violent crime costs American taxpayers more than $800 billion U.S.D. Annually according to this report. However, this isn’t the most sinister aspect of violence-related victimization in the United States. Recent reports indicate that there are 366.7 victims of violent crimes for every 100,000 people in the U.S. The highest violent crime rate in the U.S. occurs in communities with more than 500,000 and less than 1,000,000 residents.

The second highest violent crime rate occurs in communities with a population size between 250,000-499,999 thousand (21.7 per 100,000). The third highest violent crime rate occurs in communities with more than 1,000,000 people (20.0 per 1,000).

There is little correlation between a state’s firearm laws and violent crime rates. While New Hampshire has relaxed firearms laws, the state’s violent crime rate in 2022 was only 146.38. Washington, D.C., has extensive firearm regulations but a much higher violent crime rate per capita.

Key Methodology & Findings

Crime data is gathered from a variety of federal agencies to compile a broad perspective of actual and empirical data. Homicide reports come from the CDC, violent crime rates come from the FBI and the DOJ, the United States Census Bureau provides population data, and the National Institute for Health provides studies and information regarding economic and geographical crime-related data. Data provided by the FBI and DOJ largely relies on self-reporting from police agencies.

However, crime data takes years to collect; therefore, much of the data available today reflects crimes committed and victimizations from years prior. Moreover, some studies, particularly regarding gang violence in urban and rural settings, are over a decade old. Readers can also note that violent crime victimization rates are measured in 1/1,000 and 1/100,000. So, it’s essential to account for the raw data while also accounting for the percentage of a community’s population concerning crime.

Violent crimes, per the most common definition, include homicide, non-negligent murder, forcible rape (the definition recently changed to remove “forcible”), robbery, and aggravated assault. The United States Census Bureau also redefined urban. Urban populations now comprise 2,500 people with a jump distance (miles traveled between populous) to 1.5 miles.

NY and NJ have the highest concentration of population, with 19,426,449 people. L.A. has the second highest concentration of people, with 12,237,376 people. Texas, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Ohio comparatively have the largest rural population. Anchorage, AK, had the highest number of reported rapes in 2021 (186.7 per 100,000), with 64% of the population being gun owners.

Homicide in Urban Areas

The United States saw 26,031 homicides nationwide in 2021. Of those homicides, 42% occurred in only 50 counties (25% of the nation’s entire population). 28 of the 50 counties had more than 1,000,000 residents, and all 50 counties had more than 100,000 residents.

The highest number of total homicides by county is as follows:

  • Cook County, IL - 1,061 homicides of 5,173,146 residents
  • LA County, CA - 812 homicides of 9,829,544 residents
  • Harris County, TX - 606 homicides of 4,728,030 residents
  • Philadelphia County, PA - 551 homicides of 1,576,251 residents
  • Wayne County, MI - 367 homicides of 1,774,816 residents

The highest number of total homicides by county in 2021

Note: 92% of homicides in Cook County, IL, and 89% of homicides in Philadelphia, PA, were firearm-related despite excessive state gun laws. LA County had the lowest percentage, with 78% of homicides being firearm-related. ( Source)

Notably, 11,208 homicides nationwide occurred in Metropolitan areas (total population 101,133,819), and 4,494 homicides occurred in Fringe Metropolitan areas (total population 84,491,905). (Source)

Violent Crimes in Urban Areas

According to a 2017 report from the FBI, Suburban areas accounted for 281,639 violent crimes (excluding homicides), whereas metropolitan counties accounted for 186,137 violent crime reports (excluding homicides). Per this report, suburban areas are locations with fewer than 50,000 citizens.

However, the top five cities with the highest rates of violent crime, including homicides, are as follows (2023):

  • St. Louis, MO - 2,082 per 100,000 citizens (279,390 overall population)
  • Detroit, MI - 2,057 per 100,000 citizens (621,193 overall population)
  • Baltimore, MD - 2,027 per 100,000 citizens (563,455 overall population)
  • Memphis, TN - 2,003 per 100,000 citizens (621,777 overall population)
  • Little Rock, AR - 1,634 per 100,000 citizens (201,029 overall population)

The highest rates of violent crime by city in 2023

These five cities exceed the national average of 366.7 per 100,000 individuals by 171%. (Source)

Homicides and violent crime rates area vs The state gun laws

Another interesting facet of violent crime is that the top 5 most violent crime cities in 2023 have an average population density of 1,513.2 people per square mile, while the following 15 cities with high violent crime rates have a population density of 1,511 people per square mile.

For perspective, the average population density of the U.S. is 34 people per square mile. Moreover, we measure crimes as incidents per 100,000 people to account for varying population sizes (Chattanooga, TN, has fewer violent crimes than Chicago, IL, but a higher crime rate due to the population size, for example).

We can compare older reports to newer violent crime statistics and conclude that while violent crime has declined, it is still a problem secluded to areas with higher populations. (Source)

Urban Crime and Firearm Statistics

Another important aspect regarding urban violent crime statistics is the impact of state laws and programs.

While firearms were used in more homicides in 2019, other violent crimes such as robbery and aggravated assault used no weapons or other weapons such as knives (313,939 firearm-related compared to 719,953 alternatives). 309,322 strongarm offenses compared to 309,322 strongarm offenses (where no weapon was used at all) compared to 269,159 firearm-related assaults and robberies. (Source)

Counties with the highest rates of violent crime versus states and gun control legislation:

  • Cook County, IL - Strict
  • LA County, CA - Strict
  • Harris County, TX - Relaxed
  • Philadelphia County, PA - Strict
  • Wayne County, MI - Mixed (policy changes)

Gangs & Violent Crimes

Communities with 50,000+ people have a higher risk for gang-related violent crimes. (Source)

In 1990, more than 450 street gangs with more than 36,000 members (LA). Violent crime rose, and the LAPD estimated half of the violent crimes were gang-related. (Source)

The last available Gang report from the FBI occurred in 2015. Page 14, High gang-related violent criminal activity. (Source)

Per the FBI, in 2008, gangs did increase the number of violent crimes. (Source)

The number of street gangs in the NIH report from 1994-2002 increased from 3.4 homicides per square mile to 61.1 homicides per square mile with the increase of known street gangs. (Source) However, poverty and dropout rates also showed a strong correlation between gangs and violent crime.

Sources

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Interested to know how this relaxed fits in with the strict ones :thinking:

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Harris co took in a lot of New Orleans trash after Katrina.

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It is the culture of the offenders that matter much more than the gun laws.

It was a Democrat run cesspool when I lived there in the early 2000s and it has only gotten worse. Thankfully I got out before the Katrina flotsam and jetsam showed up. There is no city planning or zoning. You can have shotgun shacks in one block, then a couple of blocks of manufacturing or warehouses followed by a neighborhood of $500K homes.

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Thats the key if everyone is free to carry and defend then criminals are less likely to act.

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Yep that is it

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Maine is said to have the lowest crime in the nation and we have very relaxed gun laws. Basically the only laws are federal unless for hunting. But the progressives are working hard to change that by increasing the crime by bringing in the trash. Unfortunately (for the left) the trash stays in the cities, or what passes for a city in Maine. So they bring it in and then live with what they they brought in. There is no way you could pay me enough $ to live in the Portland or Lewiston areas today. Too many “creatures” there.

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We all know the USA does not have a race problem.
It DOES have a problem race.
The media suck fest kissing their asses is NOT working. They just have become worse.
Thank the d-rats and their plantations of ebt scumbags and losers. Living between 2 of the most destroyed big cities Philthy and NYC is very enlightening. The morning news EVERYDAY is negro violence, looting and murdering. BUT all the rat run news does is bray “gun violence” when anyone with 1/2 a brain sees just who is destroying the country with their criminal act out.
Those that live far away from the demonrats #1 domestic terrorists are very fortunate. Trouble is that cancer spreads unchecked. My home town of Newark NJ has ruined every city and town around it with the spread of black criminal BS.
Maybe that’s the “cancer” diaper boi and his rats can end. :rofl: :rofl: :rofl: :rofl:

Diversity is our strength.

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Southern Maine has the same problem. An ex governor (Paul LePage) would call it out and he was castigated for doing so even though anyone with eyes could see who the doers of violent crime was (and is). Drugs being brought into Maine from NYC? The ones I see are black. Murders and violence, black. Fentanyl direct from the factories in Mexico, OK not black, but Mexicans who shouldn’t be here bringing it into Maine. Do Mainers commit murders and violent crime? Sure. But not at the same rates as they do. Remove the drugs and thefts and B&Es would also be reduced. But it’s not causing brandon any discomfort so keep the borders open and never fix the problem, just call for gun control which the criminals don’t care about, but you and I do follow since we aren’t criminals.

I sorta hope that society does break down. That’ll give us a chance to fix the mess that the left has deliberately created to give themselves more and more control. Population centers may be effed, but they are leftist anyway (the ones I see), so they’re welcome to what they have.

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Hope the cure takes, I fear it may not. In fact it is likely the short-term out come they are seeking to implement their long-term solution.

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  1. Monopolize use of force
  2. Increase crime
  3. Fortify police state
  4. Allow crime to continue
  5. Repeat step 3 forever
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And then one day,

image

just like that

image

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The USA needs a lot more Kenosha Hat Tricks for sure.

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Man, I think I would rent a uhaul and move @mjrfd99

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My brother lives in NJ and he considered getting outta Dodge (aka NJ). Then he looked into it. Once NJ has their hooks in a person they just don’t let them go. No catch and release there by the thieves in the go’vermin. If a house is sold and the ex owners take off outta state there is a substantial tax that NJ levies. I seem to remember 20% but that could be wrong. There may also be other gotchas that NJ bends their residents over to forcibly drive home as well. At least the sold home tax was told to me by my brother. Maybe it’s not so and he was just trying to justify staying in NJ.

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Even if it was true I would sell pay and get out

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Only business growing in NJ is U-Haul. Good people leaving - d-rat scumbags back filling with illegal invaders. Good people and their money leaving - tit feeding scum taking their place.
Yes there is a home sale tax- hell the nj rat bastards have a new tax every week. There is a way around it - we already have our Florida residence and with a good accountant you can avoid most of the rats tax schemes.
We live in a 2A sanctuary and republican county. But the cancerous spread of the d-rat city shitbags keeps on coming, so this county will fall in the future too.

Nj cities have the same problem race that has ruined everywhere the come to.

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